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Visualizing the Flow of U.S. Energy Consumption
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Breaking Down America’s Energy Consumption in 2020The United States relies on a complex mix of energy sources to fuel the country’s various end-sectors’ energy consumption.
While this energy mix is still dominated by fossil fuels, there are signs of a steady shift to renewable energy over the past decade.
This radial Sankey diagram using data from the EIA (Energy Information Administration) breaks down U.S. energy consumption in 2020, showing us how much each sector relies on various energy sources.
The Balance of Energy Production and ConsumptionIn 2019 and now in 2020, America’s domestic energy production has actually been greater than its consumption—a development that hasn’t taken place since 1957.
Last year’s numbers were severely impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, seeing a 5% drop in energy production and a 7% drop in consumption compared to 2019. Total energy production and consumption for 2020 came in at 95.75 and 92.94 quads respectively.
The energy amounts are equalized and measured in quadrillion BTUs (British thermal units), also known as quads. A quad is a huge amount of energy, equivalent to 183 million barrels of petroleum or 36 million tonnes of coal.
So how is America’s overall energy production and consumption split between energy sources?
U.S. Energy Production and Consumption Share by Source Energy SourcePercentage of U.S. Energy ProductionPercentage of U.S. Energy Consumption Petroleum32%35% Natural Gas36%34% Renewable Energy12%12% Coal11%10% Nuclear9%9%Source: IEA
America’s new margin of energy production over consumption has resulted in the country being a net total energy exporter again, providing some flexibility as the country continues its transition towards more sustainable and renewable energy sources.
Fossil Fuels Still Dominate U.S. Energy ConsumptionWhile America’s mix of energy consumption is fairly diverse, 79% of domestic energy consumption still originates from fossil fuels. Petroleum powers over 90% of the transportation sector’s consumption, and natural gas and petroleum make up 74% of the industrial sector’s direct energy consumption.
There are signs of change as consumption of the dirtiest fossil fuel, coal, has declined more than 58% since its peak in 2005. Coinciding with this declining coal dependence, consumption from renewable energy has increased for six years straight, setting record highs again in 2020.
However, fossil fuels still make up 79% of U.S. energy consumption, with renewables and nuclear accounting for the remaining 21%. The table below looks at the share of specific renewable energy sources in 2020.
Distribution of Renewable Energy Sources Renewable Energy Source2020 Energy Consumption in QuadsShare of 2020 Renewable Energy Consumption Biomass4.5239% Wind3.0126% Hydroelectric2.5522% Solar1.2711% Geothermal0.232%Source: IEA
The Nuclear Necessity for a Zero-Emission Energy TransitionIt’s not all up to renewable energy sources to clean up America’s energy mix, as nuclear power will play a vital role in reducing carbon emissions. Technically not a renewable energy source due to uranium’s finite nature, nuclear energy is still a zero-emission energy that has provided around 20% of total annual U.S. electricity since 1990.
Support for nuclear power has been growing slowly, and last year was the first which saw nuclear electricity generation overtake coal. However, this might not last as three nuclear plants including New York’s Indian Point nuclear plant are set to be decommissioned in 2021, with a fourth plant scheduled for retirement in 2022.
It’s worth noting that while other countries might have a higher share of nuclear energy in their total electricity generation, the U.S. still has the largest nuclear generation capacity worldwide and has generated more nuclear electricity than any other country in the world.
Converting Energy to ElectricityThe energy produced by nuclear power plants doesn’t go directly to its end-use sector, rather, 100% of nuclear energy in the U.S. is converted to electricity which is sold to consumers. Along with nuclear, most energy sources aside from petroleum are primarily converted to electricity.
Unfortunately, electricity conversion is a fairly inefficient process, with around 65% of the energy lost in the conversion, transmission, and distribution of electricity.
This necessary but wasteful step allows for the storage of energy in electrical form, ensuring that it can be distributed properly. Working towards more efficient methods of energy to electricity conversion is an often forgotten aspect of reducing wasted energy.
Despite the dip in 2020, both energy production and consumption in the U.S. are forecasted to continue rising. As Biden aims to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 50% by 2030 (from 2005 emission levels), U.S. energy consumption will inevitably continue to shift away from fossil fuels and towards renewable and nuclear energy.
The post Visualizing the Flow of U.S. Energy Consumption appeared first on Visual Capitalist.
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Aunque los indicadores comienzan a desacelerar, aún lo hacen a niveles que siguen siendo muy altos. Y el mercado no parece preocupado por ello. La desaceleración en la parte manufacturera de la economía puede ser más evidente en los próximos meses pero el riesgo creo que sigue estando por la parte de los tipos de interés. La inflación y el mercado laboral pueden seguir calientes.
En el vídeo también vemos algunos gráficos de posicionamiento de los inversores que, aunque a corto plazo 1-3 meses nos dicen poco, pensando a medio plazo 6-18 meses no nos invitan a ser optimistas en cuanto al rendimiento que nos puede dar desde aquí la renta variable. Toca estar atentos ante cualquier cambio de comportamiento en los mercados.
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Netflix Continues Gradual Climb As Hedge Funds Add
Netflix, Inc.’s (NFLX) stock experienced steady growth over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500 as of July 2, 2021. The stock saw gains of approximately 64.9% compared to the S&P 500’s increase of about 33.7%. Netflix saw a rise in ranking on the WhaleWisdom Heatmap to an impressive level of five from 43, and hedge funds were buying.
Netflix is an entertainment service company that provides subscription services for customers to enjoy movies and television shows through streaming and DVDs by mail. Netflix initially saw subscriber growth soar during the earlier months of the coronavirus pandemic in 2020, when the government issued stay-at-home orders left customers seeking additional in-home entertainment. However, while Netflix remains a popular service, the rate of increase in their subscriber base ultimately slowed.
Hedge Funds Were Buying
Investors may be encouraged by first-quarter activity as hedge funds were adding to their portfolios. The aggregate 13F shares held by hedge funds increased to about 72.9 million from 71.6 million, a rise of approximately 1.8%. Of the hedge funds, 31 created new positions, 166 added holdings, 49 exited, and 115 reduced their stakes. Overall, institutions were selling and decreased their aggregate holdings by about 0.8% to approximately 353.6 million from 356.5 million.
Encouraging Estimates for 2021 and 2022
Analysts expect to see profits rise over the next two years, with increases in growth from 2021 to 2022 that could bring earnings to $13.05 per share in 2022, up from $10.59 for 2021. Revenue is predicted to reach $34.2 billion by December 2022, up from an estimated $29.7 billion in 2021. Also, a historical look at 13F metrics between 2002 and 2020 demonstrates that Netflix’s stock value continues to gain despite plateaus in total 13F shares held.
Favorable Ratings
Several investment firms gave Netflix an Outperform rating while maintaining price targets at favorable levels. Credit Suisse Group upgraded the company’s rating to Outperform from Neutral, expecting that subscriber growth will normalize in the fourth quarter. Credit Suisse kept a $586 price target on the stock noting its strong position among competitors. Cowen & Co. maintained an Outperform rating with a $650 price target.
Positive Outlook
Overall, there is a positive outlook for Netflix’s streaming future. Netflix and its competitors have all been beneficiaries of pandemic lockdowns. However, beyond the lockdowns, Netflix has a great business model with a continued strong interest in content from its customer base, leaving its long-term growth and future revenue estimates appealing to investors.
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