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The energy market is a huge mess right now and threatens to turn the high inflation of 2021 into a terrible new economic era
AP Images/Martin Meissner
- The world is stuck in a dire energy crunch. It's affecting everything from gas prices to shipping times.
- Countries are struggling to source coal, natural gas, oil, and renewable energy as supply-chain problems linger.
- The crunch is already driving energy costs higher and threatens to keep inflation at concerning highs.
You're paying $3.29 per gallon to fill your car when it cost $2.29 at the start of the year. Your online orders are arriving way later than usual. And as winter nears, it's costing more to heat your home.
The complex web that powers the world is badly tangled. A combination of supply-chain bottlenecks, government policies, and ill-preparedness has left countries struggling to keep their economies running at full steam.
That energy shortage could erase a key recovery driver. The holiday season tends to bring a wave of consumer spending as people shop for holiday gifts. Consumer spending counts for roughly 70% of economic activity, but only when there are goods for people to spend money on.
Almost every major economy has contributed to the mess. China lacks an adequate supply of coal due to slowed mining and a refusal to import coal from Australia. That's led to energy rationing and factory blackouts.
The crunch doesn't stop there. Frackers in the US haven't returned to pre-crisis output, leaving oil supply well below the world's massive demand. Russia has worsened the problem by deciding not to send its natural gas to the European Union.
The insufficient amount of natural gas has dragged the world's power plants back in time. Oil, which is traditionally used much less often in electricity generation than coal or gas, is back in vogue as countries look for other ways to fuel their economies, the International Energy Agency said Thursday.
But that's also in short supply. OPEC is sticking with the production increases it scheduled before the crunch, essentially telling the rest of the world that they aren't coming to the rescue. That's already sent prices soaring. Oil now costs more than $81.25 per barrel, the most since 2014.
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The world's energy sources are all coming up dry. There's no quick fix, and the pressures "are not going to relent in the coming decades," the IEA said in its latest World Energy Outlook report.
The energy crunch is adding to an everything crunchThe energy crunch is having knock-on effects elsewhere. Commodities that China exports are in low supply, leading production prices to skyrocket. Coal prices have more than doubled since July. A silicon shortage has hampered semiconductor manufacturing. And companies that rely on Chinese factories to assemble their products face even larger backlogs than before.
The risks go beyond gas prices and heating costs. Advanced economies are already mired in supply-chain struggles. Blackouts at factories in China, India, and other manufacturing giants have delayed shipments. When products finally do reach the US on cargo containers, huge backlogs at ports have left vessels idling off the coast. Once goods are finally offloaded, a shortage of truck drivers has held up deliveries even more.
Solving the bottlenecks is no easy task. The disruptions "will get worse before they get better," Moody's Analytics said Monday.
"As the global economic recovery continues to gather steam, what is increasingly apparent is how it will be stymied by supply-chain disruptions that are now showing up at every corner," the firm added.
New efforts aim to alleviate the pressure. The White House announced Wednesday that the Port of Los Angeles will start processing ships 24/7. Corporations including Walmart, UPS, and FedEx will also shift to all-day-every-day models to ease the holdup.
Yet fighting the supply-chain nightmare doesn't address the core problem. The world's energy supply remains under immense pressure. That's already keeping inflation persistently high.
It all comes back to inflationWhile Americans are still able to turn their lights on and fuel their cars, they're feeling the heat in their wallets.
Up until September, inflation looked to be cooling off just as the Biden administration and the Federal Reserve expected. Price growth slowed in July and again in August, yet the energy crunch seems to be thwarting the return to normal.
Prices rose 0.4% in September, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said Wednesday, accelerating from the pace seen in August. Of the sectors powering the jump, energy reigned supreme. The segment saw prices rise 1.3% in September, exceeding the inflation seen in food, used cars, and accommodation costs like hotels and rent.
That's directly affected what Americans are paying at the pump. The average price-per-gallon of gasoline in the US rose to $3.29 on Wednesday, according to GasBuddy, marking the highest level in seven years.
If governments can't untangle their supply chains fast enough, you can expect price growth to stay worryingly strong. The post-pandemic normal might just include shipping delays, expensive refueling, and pricier goods across the board.
Read the original article on Business InsiderMedieval bigfoot!? (Back for October)
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Coding platform GitLab leaps 23% in trading debut after pricing IPO at $77 a share
- Shares of GitLab leaped 23% in their Nasdaq trading debut, a market cap of $13.48 billion.
- GitLab initially priced its IPO at $77 a share, putting its valuation at roughly $11 billion.
- The company on Thursday opened at $94.25, exceeding the target range of $66 to $69 per share it set late Wednesday.
- Sign up here for our daily newsletter, 10 Things Before the Opening Bell.
Shares of GitLab leaped 23% in their trading debut on Thursday, giving the coding platform a market capitalization of $13.48 billion.
GitLab priced its initial public offering at $77 a share, putting its valuation at roughly $11 billion based on the outstanding shares listed in its regulatory filing. The company on Thursday, trading under the ticker GTLB, opened at $94.25.
The company's largest shareholder is its co-founder and CEO Sid Sijbrandij, whose stake stands at 19%, according to the prospectus. He is followed by Khosla Ventures, which owns 14%, and then by ICONIQ, which owns 12%.
There were some doubters among Wall Street analysts following the strong debut, however.
"We believe GitLab is worth as little as $770 million or $5/share, which is 91% below the midpoint of the expected price range," David Trainer, CEO at New Constructs, said in a note. "What is most worrisome about GitLab is that it competes with some of the largest technology companies in the world."
The all-remote company - founded in 2011 by Sijbrandij and Dmitriy Zaporozhets - is best known for offering organizations a single platform to create a streamlined software workflow. Its product, called the DevOps platform, competes with Microsoft's Github.
GitLab was incorporated in Delaware in 2014 but does not have a main office, according to its filings. It has 1,350 employees across 65 countries.
Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Bank of America Securities were the lead underwriters for the offering.
Read the original article on Business Insider
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Children’s Furniture Market On The Rise Despite COVID-19
Most industries in the UK have been impacted in some way by the COVID-19 pandemic, and the furniture market is no different. However, thanks to increased parent spending on children’s bedrooms, nurseries, and playrooms, the global children’s furniture market is growing and is predicted to be worth USD $41.6 billion by 2027.
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An improvement in the general standard of living and rising disposable income has led to growth in the furniture market. This increase in purchasing power has seen a significant increase in demand for children's furniture.
“The beds industry had a noticeable surge in sales during covid, with many families concentrating on home improvements, this was hindered by international shipping and cost of bring in materials " – Ashley Hainsworth, Director of Bed Kingdom
Parent PreferenceThe desire to incorporate children's toys, books, and clothes in one place is driving up demand for multifunctional furniture, such as bunk beds and cabinets. Meanwhile, increasing real estate prices are expected to affect the sizes of homes, especially children-centred rooms, creating valuable growth opportunities for businesses offering easy to assemble furniture for children's rooms.
Parents opting for furniture made from durable materials and offering both multifunctionality and a wide choice of colours is expected to create additional growth opportunities for key market players. As theme-based interior design continues to increase in popularity, parents want furniture with the appropriate shapes and colours to compliment their chosen theme.
Product Insights- Cribs, Cots, And Beds
Cribs, cots, and children's beds have the largest market share of children's furniture sales at 40% and are the most popular furniture items purchased for children's rooms.
- Bunk Beds
The increased use of bunk beds, especially metal bunk beds, in residential schools, dormitories, hostels and military bases, will likely create growth opportunities for manufacturers.
Parents typically choose bunk beds as they have the same footprint as a single bed but allow two or more individuals to sleep within the same space. However, bunk beds typically have a limited lifespan, as the top bed can become difficult for children, adolescents, and young adults to access, potentially impacting the growth of the bunk bed market. Europe and North America are the bunk bed market leaders and are predicted to maintain this position due to the growing popularity of outdoor activities, such as summer camps.
- Storage, Chests, And Cabinets
Chests, dressers, and cabinets are expected to experience the fastest CAGR at 5.4% from 2019 to 2025. While these items are relatively low-cost and easy to assemble, they also help teach organizational skills, which all combine to drive up product demand in the upcoming years.
Material InsightsWood furniture has the largest market share at 60% when it comes to children's furniture. Wood furniture designed for children comes in both hardwood and softwood. Hardwood items are relatively more expensive, sourced from walnut, mahogany, rosewood, teak, beech, cherry, oak, maple, birch, and ash.
Hardwood furniture items are far more durable and require relatively minimal maintenance. Softwood furniture comes from yew, redwood, juniper, cedar, larch, fir, spruce, and pine. These types of wood are lightweight, generally have a better finish, and can absorb adhesive.
Regional InsightsEurope, in recent years, has had the biggest market share for children's furniture at 40%. It's anticipated that the region will continue to hold this position as the strongest market player for children's furniture, particularly in countries such as Italy, France, the UK, and Germany who continue to maintain a strong market presence both online and offline.
Meanwhile, it's predicted that Asia Pacific will experience the fastest CAGR from 2019 to 2025 at 5.4%. Australia, India, China, and Japan are the key consumers in the province. Increasing demand for American and English style children's furniture in Fast East regions such as the Philippines, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan will drive regional growth. Also, the substantially high birth rate will also likely fuel the demand. A relatively stable if not growing employment market in Indonesia, Maldives, South Korea, Bangladesh, India, and China has also helped improve its consumers' economic status, boosting buying power and product demand.
Children's Furniture MarketThere's a huge amount of competition in the global children's furniture market. From companies offering high-end bespoke pieces to more affordable pieces, consumers must assemble them themselves at home. Consumers have a vast amount of choice depending on their style, budget, and material preferences, whether they are looking for beds, dressers, cabinets, or other storage items. Some of the top key players in the international children's furniture market include:
- Summer Infant Inc
- Sorelle Furniture
- Milliard Bedding
- Legare
- KidKraft
- Ikea
- Graco
- Dream on Me INC
- Bombay Dyeing
- Ashley Home Stores, Ltd
The children's furniture market has seen a growing shift in preference for designer furniture. Increased awareness of environmental issues and the impact of plastic on the natural world has led many manufacturers and brands to explore new opportunities in designer children's furniture.
The children's designer furniture market has also seen a wave of furniture made from discarded plastic toys and recycled plastic. This has led to the plastic material portion of the children's furniture market, expecting to reach around 200 million units by 2027.
In recent years, the designer children's furniture market has seen several startups looking to capitalize on this growing and profitable trend. However, convincing parent consumers of the attraction and virtues of children's furniture made from recycled materials is a challenge. However, as startups collaborate with international brands and focus on innovative developments to improve children's comfort, it's expected that this share of the market will continue to attract eco-conscious parents.
The global children's furniture market is experiencing a huge transformation. Intelligent furniture, more inclusive designs, and the use of eco-friendly materials are changing the shape of the market. Children's furniture manufacturers and brands are improving their capabilities to create and build high-quality furniture that meets customer demand for attractive and functional items and long-lasting products that will stand the test of time.
However, those more green-conscious designers and manufacturers will continue to challenge convincing consumers of sustainable furniture's aesthetic and cost credentials. Therefore, companies shouldn't forget that even in our modern eco-conscious world, safety, quality, quantity, and longevity are the number one priority for most consumers looking to invest in furniture for their children's bedrooms, playrooms, and nurseries.
Updated on Oct 14, 2021, 2:41 pm
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